This blog focuses on the 13th round of URC action on the 21st and 22nd of March from a betting angle and will include monitoring betting moves on handicaps and points, weather links and ultimately a bet for consideration in all 8 matches.
GET MY WEEKLY BETTING EMAIL - sign up here is seconds
BULLS v LEINSTER
Posted 22 March 09h38
BET: 5 units Leinster over 22.5 points at 8/10 at Hollywoodbets
DRAGONS v ULSTER
Posted 21 March 22h52
This handicap opened Dragons +5.5 and is now generally +6.5 so not alot of movement.
The weather doesn't look great and we have a points line of 46.5 and I suspect that could drop down a point or 2.
BET: 3 units under 46.5 points at 17/20 at Sportingbet
OSPREYS v CONNACT
Posted 21 March 10h48
This handicap has gradually moved from Ospreys -3.5 to -5.5 where it currently stands.
The points line is 44.5 as the weather doesn't look great.
I am looking for an Ospreys win as have been quite impressed with them lately but I reckon it will be a close game.
BET: Ospreys by 1-12 points at 7/5 at Sportingbet
BENETTON V EDINBURGH
Posted 21 March 22h25
Benetton's last home game was an impressive 34-19 win over Ulster and I think they will do the business against Edinburgh.
There was -3.5 Benetton on offer but as I type this markets are suspended and I see some -9.5 on offer so my minus play is no longer on the cards.
The points line is 47.5 and with conditions not looking great I am on the unders.
BET: 3 units under 47.5 points at 17/20 at Sportingbet
SCARLETS v STORMERS
Posted 21 March 22h11
Click here for the full Scarlets v Stormers preview
BET: 4 units Stormers -2.5 at 0.87/1 at Betxchange
SHARKS V ZEBRE
Posted 21 March 21h29
Click here for the full preview
BET: 3 units Sharks -23.5 at 1/1 at WSB
GLASGOW v MUNSTER
Posted 21 March 13h11
This handicap opened -5.5 but money has come for the Warriors.
They have named a strong team and I think they will beat this handicap but prefer baking them to score 28 points or more in what looks like cold but clear conditions and against a Munster team that looks a fair bit short of their best.
BET: 4 units Glasgow over 27.5 points at 19/20 at Hollywoodbets
CARDIFF v LIONS
Posted 21 March 10h59
This match has its own preview
BET: 3 units under 48.5 points at Pokerbet
BET: 0.5 units Lions/Cardiff HT/FT at 13/2 at Pokerbet
WEATHER LINKS FOR ROUND 13
Posted 19 March 10h45
Here are links to the weather and current forecast for the weekends matches
- Fri, Mar 21 – Cardiff vs Emirates Lions – Cardiff Arms Park (3G Artificial) - cold, windy, possible rain – 21:35
- Fri, Mar 21 – Glasgow Warriors vs Munster – Scotstoun Stadium (Synthetic) - cold but clear – 21:35
- Sat, Mar 22 – Hollywoodbets Sharks vs Zebre Parma – Hollywoodbets Kings Park (Turf) - Hot, check humidity – 14:45
- Sat, Mar 22 – Benetton vs Edinburgh – Stadio Monigo Treviso (Grass) - cold, humid, potential rain– 17:00
- Sat, Mar 22 – Vodacom Bulls vs Leinster – Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Turf) - warm and clear – 17:00
- Sat, Mar 22 – Dragons vs Ulster – Rodney Parade (Hybrid) - cool, rain forecast – 19:15
- Sat, Mar 22 – Ospreys vs Connacht – Swansea.com Stadium (Hybrid) – cool, rain forecast – 19:15
- Sat, Mar 22 – Scarlets vs DHL Stormers – Parc Y Scarlets (Hybrid) - cool, rain forecast – 21:35
MARKETS STEADY - STILL NO BULLS V LEINSTER
Posted 19 March 07h04
The markets are steady and based on small moves it looks like some support for the Sharks, Scarlets and Ospreys.
Weather links to follow.
WEEK 3 HANDICAPS ARE OUT
Posted 17 March 16h02
Below are Betxchange handicaps in brackets next to mine
Cardiff -4.5 (-4.5) vs Emirates Lions
Glasgow Warriors -6.5 (-5.5) vs Munster
Hollywoodbets Sharks -14.5 (-21.5) vs Zebre Parma
Benetton -3.5 (-3.5) vs Edinburgh
Dragons +3.5 (+5.5) vs Ulster
Ospreys -4.5 (-3.5) vs Connacht
Scarlets +2.5 (+1.5) vs DHL Stormers
Very surprised that all are close other than Sharks game but I cannot bring myself to back Zebre on the plus.
Bookies have not priced Bulls v Leinster yet and are likely waiting for squad news from the visitors.
URC PROJECTED HANDICAPS
Posted 16 March 14h07
Below my projected handicaps which I will compare to the bookmakers on Monday - this is a very gut feel go and further homework would need to be done if there are big differences between me and the bookies.
I always find it tricky after a break and the availability of 6 Nations players especially those that didn't start on the weekend needs to be monitored. I am assuming players that were in the 6 Nations 23s this weekend won't start.
Cardiff -4.5 vs Emirates Lions
Glasgow Warriors -6.5 vs Munster
Hollywoodbets Sharks -14.5 vs Zebre Parma
Benetton -3.5 vs Edinburgh
Vodacom Bulls -8.5 vs Leinster
Dragons +3.5 vs Ulster
Ospreys -4.5 vs Connacht
Scarlets +2.5 vs DHL Stormers
URC ROUND 13 FIXTURES, LOG AND OUTRIGHT BETTING
Posted March 16 13h53
The URC is back in full swing this week with 8 fixtures on Friday and Saturday. The Lions and Stormers are in Wales with the Bulls and the Sharks at home.
- Fri, Mar 21 – Cardiff vs Emirates Lions – Cardiff Arms Park – 21:35
- Fri, Mar 21 – Glasgow Warriors vs Munster – Scotstoun Stadium – 21:35
- Sat, Mar 22 – Hollywoodbets Sharks vs Zebre Parma – Hollywoodbets Kings Park – 14:45
- Sat, Mar 22 – Benetton vs Edinburgh – Stadio Monigo – 17:00
- Sat, Mar 22 – Vodacom Bulls vs Leinster – Loftus Versfeld Stadium – 17:00
- Sat, Mar 22 – Dragons vs Ulster – Rodney Parade – 19:15
- Sat, Mar 22 – Ospreys vs Connacht – TBC – 19:15
- Sat, Mar 22 – Scarlets vs DHL Stormers – Parc Y Scarlets – 21:35
Here is the Latest Table
Here is the latest outright betting (Net Decimal) at Betxchange
