Scotland host the All Blacks at Murrayfield on Saturday in what promises to be one of the more interesting matches of Round 4 of the Nations Championship.
Both sides made strong starts to the competition in July, with Scotland well placed in the Northern Hemisphere standings and New Zealand unbeaten after three rounds. The Scots have never beaten the All Blacks, but they have pushed them close in recent meetings and will fancy their chances of making a game of it in Edinburgh.
Scotland vs New Zealand, Saturday 7th November, Murrayfield Stadium, Edinburgh, KO 16:10 (South African time)
Referee: Andrew Brace (Ireland)
Assistant Referees: Andrea Piardi (Italy), Jordan Way (Australia)
TMO: Olly Hodges (Ireland)
Weather Forecast – Edinburgh
Scotland
Scotland sit second in the Northern Hemisphere standings with 11 points from two wins and one defeat, just one point behind leaders France.
They made an excellent start to their Nations Championship campaign with a 47–38 victory over Argentina in Córdoba before going down 42–28 to South Africa in Pretoria. They finished the July window with a 33–17 win over Fiji.
Scotland have been playing some entertaining rugby, scoring 108 points in their opening three matches, although they have also conceded 97.
They will be hoping to make home advantage count against an All Blacks side they have never beaten. Their last three meetings have all been decided by eight points or fewer, including a 25–17 defeat at Murrayfield last November.
Scotland are 28/1 to win the Nations Championship.
Nations Championship Results and Fixtures:
R1 Argentina (a) WON 47–38
R2 South Africa (a) LOST 28–42
R3 Fiji (a) WON 33–17
R4 New Zealand (h) – 7 November
R5 Australia (h) – To come
R6 Japan (h) – To come
New Zealand
New Zealand are second in the Southern Hemisphere standings with a maximum 15 points from three matches, level with South Africa but behind the Springboks on points difference.
The All Blacks opened their Nations Championship campaign with a thrilling 34–32 victory over France before beating Italy 47–17. They finished the July window with a convincing 40–21 win over Ireland.
Since then, New Zealand have been involved in their great rivalry series against South Africa (lost 3-1), followed by the Bledisloe Cup clashes with Australia which they won fairly easily, so they have certainly had plenty of competitive rugby heading into the November internationals.
New Zealand have an outstanding record against Scotland, winning 30 of their 32 meetings, with the other two matches ending in draws.
Their most recent visit to Murrayfield was in November 2025, when Scotland fought back from 17–0 down to level the scores before the All Blacks eventually won 25–17.
With Wales and England still to come, New Zealand will be looking to maintain their unbeaten Nations Championship record and keep the pressure on South Africa in the race for a place in the final.
New Zealand are 3/1 to win the Nations Championship.
Nations Championship Results and Fixtures:
R1 France (h) WON 34–32
R2 Italy (h) WON 47–17
R3 Ireland (h) WON 40–21
R4 Scotland (a) – 7 November
R5 Wales (a) – To come
R6 England (a) – To come
Recent Head to Head
Nov 2025 – International – Edinburgh – Scotland 17–25 NEW ZEALAND
Nov 2022 – International – Edinburgh – Scotland 23–31 NEW ZEALAND
Nov 2017 – International – Edinburgh – Scotland 17–22 NEW ZEALAND
Nov 2014 – International – Edinburgh – Scotland 16–24 NEW ZEALAND
Nov 2012 – International – Edinburgh – Scotland 22–51 NEW ZEALAND
Team News
Scotland: 15 Kyle Rowe, 14 Kyle Steyn, 13 Huw Jones, 12 Sione Tuipulotu (Captain), 11 Jamie Dobie, 10 Finn Russell, 9 Ben White, 8 Jack Dempsey, 7 Rory Darge, 6 Matt Fagerson, 5 Scott Cummings, 4 Gregor Brown, 3 Zander Fagerson, 2 Ewan Ashman, 1 Rory Sutherland
Replacements: 16 Gregor Hiddleston, 17 Pierre Schoeman, 18 Will Hurd, 19 Max Williamson, 20 Josh Bayliss, 21 George Horne, 22 Tom Jordan, 23 Blair Kinghorn
New Zealand: 15 Beauden Barrett, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Quinn Tupaea, 12 Jordie Barrett, 11 Josh Moorby, 10 Damian McKenzie, 9 Cam Roigard, 8 Wallace Sititi, 7 Peter Lakai, 6 Tupou Vaa’i, 5 Fabian Holland, 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Fletcher Newell, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 Ethan de Groot.
Replacement: 16 Asafo Aumua, 17 George Bower, 18 Pasilio Tosi, 19 Christian Lio-Willie, 20 Anton Segner, 21 Cortez Ratima, 22 Timoci Tavatavanawai, 23 Rieko Ioane
The Betting
Betting as at 7 November 2026
Scotland +10.5 points
New Zealand -9.5 points
Betting Angle
Bet 2: Scotland v New Zealand
Posted 07 November 09h04
Bet: 2 units (1–5), New Zealand over 33.5 team points at 9/10 at Hollywoodbets
I'm already involved in New Zealand -8.5 points, but I've decided to get involved in the All Blacks' team points line as well.
As I've mentioned previously, points difference could prove crucial in the battle with South Africa for top spot in the Southern Hemisphere standings, so if New Zealand do get clear, I don't expect them to take their foot off the gas.
Conditions in Edinburgh look good for running rugby, and with the attacking quality New Zealand have at their disposal, I'm looking for them to put plenty of points on the board.
Scotland are certainly capable of making a game of it, but I fancy the All Blacks to create enough opportunities to get to 34 points or more.
Bet: Scotland v New Zealand
Posted 02 November 09h58
2.5 units (1-5) New Zealand -8.5 points at 19/20 at World Sports Betting
I've decided to get this bet down early, having had my eye on New Zealand for a while. I then saw Southpaw's post on the Goodforthegame forum, where he's also taking the minus and keeping an eye on the New Zealand points lines later in the week.
Scotland have given the All Blacks a good run for their money in recent meetings, but I think they're coming up against a very different New Zealand side this time around.
Dave Rennie's men will be battle-hardened after their 3–1 series defeat to South Africa in the Greatest Rivalry series, followed by two convincing wins over Australia in the Bledisloe Cup.
I can see Scotland being competitive for long periods, but I expect New Zealand to pull away and win comfortably. Points difference could also prove crucial in the race with South Africa for top spot in the Southern Hemisphere standings, so the All Blacks will have every incentive to keep the scoreboard ticking over.
Follow our Nations Championship Week 4 blog for betting-related news and tips throughout the week.
See what other punters fancy and have your say in the Nations Championship Round 4 discussion thread.
Disclaimer: Betting odds and handicaps are correct at the time of writing but may change. Punters should check the latest prices, team news, weather conditions and relevant form before placing their bets.