All Racing Tips w/c 2nd November

This week's racing schedule is as follow with some features to look forward to at the weekend.

Tuesday Vaal (Classic)
Wednesday, Greyville (poly)
Thursday Tuffontein (Inside)
Friday Fairview and Greyville (both turf)
Saturday Kenilworth (Gr 2 Fillies Champs, Gr 3 Cape Mile plus 2 listed races)
Sunday Turffontein (Standside, Gr 3 Victory Moon plus 2 listed races)

All the regular content to follow and all this week's racing tips are most welcome here

Vaal on Tuesday, classic course. Not the most thrilling card but hopefully a couple of these can land


Race 1 Autograpgh at 9/4. Ran behind a useful sort last time. Work Rider has 1 win and 2 places from 4 rides this season
Race 2 Tu Giusto at 2/1. Backed last time off aa break but had to settle for 2nd, up in trip, yard in form
Race 4 Doctor Strangelove each way at 10/1. Two time winner from 5 starts. Clipped heels returning from a break in a higher grade last time. Still unexposed Interesting despite wide draw.  
Race 5 Max the Magician at 3/1. Yard only has 2 runners today, both in this race. Model of consistency, well drawn with Zackey up

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Greyville Wednesday, fairly typcal midweek poly card, came up with these.


Race 2 All About Me to run in the first 3 at 5/4. Some of the form lines in this race are questionable. The place selection hasn’t shown too much but stayed on when backed last time and probably has more to offer than what we have seen so far.
Race 3 Showgirl at 7/2. Lightly raced mare is having her first outing on the poly. Backed last time and ran into 2nd after being slowly away. Looks fairly treated off unchanged mark if taking to surface.
Race 4 Cleartherunway at 7/2. Penultimate run, only start on poly was a c&d win, a touch to find on subsequent outing but can go close again back over 2000m on this surface
Race 5 Luneluck at 7/2. In good form of late including turf win when drawn 10/10 here last time out. Raised 4 points for that and no switches to Poly but clearly in good heart and de Melo takes over.
Race 7 Targaryen night at 3/1. One of 2 fancied runners from yard. Backed last time and holds stable mate on that run (both reported coughing) which was first after gelding. Drawn 1 today and should be a big player off an unchanged mark with same 4kg claimer on board

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i also like doctor strangelove chris, watched that last replay and was travelling well before the incident. a nice ew price @ 10/1.

Cleaned up Chris, 4/4!!!

well done mate that’s superb. And cherry on the top doctor strangelove won like a good thing at a lovely price, more to come from that one. 

Cheers South, really encouraging start to the week, Doctor Strangelove did us both proud there mate 

Some tricky races at Turffontein (inside track) on Thursday, settled on these.


Race 1 Capability Brown at 9/4. Green on debut much improved next time, back in trip a slight concern but well drawn at 3
Race 5 Dreadnought at 3/1. One of a couple of unexposed runners in the field. Won maiden easily on the back of 3 placed runs, drawn 1 and handicap mark may still be some blue sky in the handicap mark up in trip.
Race 6 Walkinginthewoods at 11/10. Disappointed when backed last time but probably needed that and worth sticking with based on super impressive maiden win.
Race 8 Mystical Miss each way at 10/1. Excuses latest off a break. Close 2nd in slightly stronger race over c&d penultimate run, Zackey up, wide gate to overcome but can be involved

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r2 owner of creation @ 16/1 ew, poor draw but jock change positive and he's riding really well lately. Formline of wild and free strongly franked on saturday.

r3 hearl and soul @ 13/2 ew, i just feel on breeding the poly will be a very good match.

 

Top stuff at The Vaal yesterday Chris! Hope you had them in an ATC, must have been close to 400/1

Greyville Polytrack

Race 1 - Money for Declare The Spot 6/1 from 11/1. Tries the polytrack for the first time. Favorite, J Lordi (15/10) gets a 4kg claimer and has been runner-up in both local starts, but is no racing certainty.

 

Greyville Poly

Race 2 - All About Me (15/2 E/W) received betting support in last two starts. All three career starts have been in quite strong maidens. Jockey Matsunyane having a great season and could surprise.

Race 3 - Plaza Accord (12/1 E/W) peak run after a rest. Last win was of a similar mark. Fort Usher (5/2) is 2/2 on the polytrack. Keegan de Melo partners for the first time. 

Race 4 - Uzwano (28/10) 2 wins and 2 places from 4 runs on the poly. Pinot Grigio (25/10) has a positive weight swing with Uzwano on their last on the turf but tries this surface for the first time.

Race 5 - Clair de Lune (16/10) strong stable confidence. Runner-up when backed in both starts on the poly.

Race 6 - Angel's Oasis (2/1) narrowly beaten by Your Ladyship who racked up a hat trick of wins in last run. Navajo Dancer (15/10) going for a hat trick of her own but 9 points up for last two wins. 

Race 8 - Red Hot Miss (8/1 E/W) goes well on the poly. Only run over this distance was in a GR2 race for juveniles on Gold Cup Day. Form line of most recent run looks promising with 2 winners from 3 runners.

Looking at Friday's Fairview turf card, some good horses stepping out in a number of the earlier races but really short prices so takes the edge off it unless you playing to beat them. I settled on these later in the card.

Race 5 No’s 3 Kwagga Blitz and 6 Cian The Conqueror tote swingers. This pair are closely matched on c&d form when 2nd and 4th on 11th September and a repeat of that would see them both involved in the finish again
Race 6 Morfeliha at 9/2. Won on turf on ECP debut and two 2nd’s from 4 runs on poly since including latest off a break. Yard’s only runner on the day, respected.
Race 7 Silent Trigger at 5/1. Having his 50th run today. Last turf run (4th beaten 1 length) came in January off a 3 point higher mark in a stronger race than this. Additional 2.5kg claim today.

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Will post Greyville Friday picks later today

 

Greyville (turf) Friday afternoon / night meeting looks tricky to me. Race 5 especially interesting with King Pelles and Gladatorian plus some useful sorts getting chunks of weight, but I'm swerving that race.


Race 2 Dembele each way at 20/1. Ran behind some useful sorts on turf debut and that form franked. Clearly didn’t enjoy poly next time out, that run best ignored, could be over priced
Race 3 Hello Handsome at 11/2. Form of debut third franked, ignore latest, chance if handling the turn for the first time under a handy 4kg claimer
Race 4 Noctambulist each way at 17/2. In and out performer in career so far but form of latest run when 2nd on poly would put hi in the mix
Race 7 Hierarchy at 3/1. Class act on her day and returned to form with a win last time out. Favoured by this trip compared to some of her rivals.

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Landed 3 from 4 at Turffontein on Thursday, they were well fancied but chuffed with that and hoping to keep this going over weekend.

Saturday at Kenilworth, some of the earlier features dominated by Snaith runners which is cooling my interest for a bet but interesting none the less. Playing around these later in the card.


Race 7 Palace Of Arvernia at 14/10. Top juvenile form, off 104 days now making her first appearance as a 3yo. Well clear in best weighted column, might be in need it a touch but still the one to beat
Race 8 Behave Harris to run in the first 3 at 14/10. Eased by handicapper, drawn 1 and step up to 1400m looks a good move
Race 9 Churchillian at 3/1. Less than 0.5l to find with a couple of rivals on last run at Durbanville but was returning from a break that day and probably conceding a fitness advantage. Big player on that run.
Race 10 October Storm at 8/1. Wide open contest, 4yo could still be a touch unexposed after just 9 runs, decent comeback beaten 0.9l into 4th in a stronger race last time, de Melo up.

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Again red hot form yesterday Chris, well done! I had no luck on Wednesday with my picks either placing or running nowhere while their stablemates got the wins in other races.

Hunting value @ Fairview
Just watched Golden Palm finishing runner-up in a field she should have put to bed. Not the same horse of a year ago. Was a good race not to punt for me as I would have never found the winner being that far out at the weights and on collateral form.

Race 4 - Astronomical Boy (15/2 Win, 7/10 top 3 places) out at the weights and takes on an in-form horse in the form of US Ranger. AB third run after a rest and relocating from Cape Town. Did beat Kwagga Blitz over C&D on local debut. Not disgraced behind Pomp It Up over this trip a year ago at Kenilworth.

Race 7 - Nightjar (7/1 E/W) shortened in the betting in his last few starts and has been dropping in rating. Ran decent races behind the likes of Kleinzee, Ingqwele and Fantine, who are no slouches, on the polytrack but looks one who would prefer being back on turf.

great form chris!

couple debut runners for me at big prices - 

g2 rebel ridge @ 20/1 ew. yard being doing well with first-timers and not a terrible draw with claim from appie to help.

g3 sand banks beach @ 20/1 ew, on breeding will like cut in ground and sibblings all shown good sprinting form early in careers.

 

Greyville Turf

Race 1 - Chihiro (14/1 E/W) - Finding some form and racing fit. Woodruff KZN yard in form, gets an extra 1.5kgs off with Mikaelle Michel in the irons. Ferrari Flair (6/10) worthy favorite as has been performing well in Graded juvenile races prior to a 103 day rest. Definite winner if fit enough, but would rather take an e/w on a horse that is fit with some recent form. 

Race 2 - My China (24/10) totally unfancied when 1.45 length 5th in what looks like a good form line on debut. Taking SW with Chris' pick Dembele. SW 5x10

Race 3 - Agree with Chris, Hello Handsome (13/2)

Race 4 - Diaval (9/2) steps up in trip. Highly rated by the stable. Comes from the same debut form line as Hello Handsome.

Race 5 - Gladatorian (13/10) and King Pelles (33/10) the class of the race and final prep for the Summer Cup. Im taking a cheeky E/W on Whispering Death (13/2) who was not disgraced behind other Summer Cup entrants, Magic Verse and Mocha Blend, just under two weeks ago. He carries only 48.5kgs and apprentice Mosaheb is no stranger to the winners box.   

Race 6 - C&D winner Nautical Fire (25/10) goes for a hat-trick and could give apprentice Mosaheb a quick double. He ran against good horses in the maiden ranks and then also beat some decent horses when winning his maiden. Stable in good form with their runners holding their form of late.

Race 8 - Mojo Man (22/10) to get it right after three close runner-up finishes. Keegan de Melo takes the ride for the first time.

Some brilliant calls this week guys.

Nice to see the forum in good form. Especially with the big price value winners like South picked in Race 3 just now 

Southpaw wrote:

great form chris!

couple debut runners for me at big prices - 

g2 rebel ridge @ 20/1 ew. yard being doing well with first-timers and not a terrible draw with claim from appie to help.

g3 sand banks beach @ 20/1 ew, on breeding will like cut in ground and sibblings all shown good sprinting form early in careers.


 

Brilliant stuff @Southpaw! Rebel Ridge jumped 66/1 for 4th, together with the other Kannemeyer first timer, won't be long in the maiden ranks. Top win by Sand Banks Beach, R21 a win on the tote!

Top class with those 1st timers at Greyville South, really well played mate.

I battled on Friday, hope to bounce back today, picks posted earlier on the thread and then trying these on Sunday at Turffontein

Race 4 Ziyasha at 3/1. 2nd latest when probably needed, fitter, today, c&d winner and super consistent.
Race 6 Care Forgot at 11/2. Yard has chances throughout the card and 3 step out here. Selection often slow away but still runs to consistent mark, trip is ideal and Fourie up. Big player if jumping on terms
Race 7 Field Marshall to run in the first 3 at 15/10. Would have needed latest, penultimate run behind subsequent Charity Mile winner and ran well in a Gr 2 (beaten 1.25l) last raid on Turffontein in April.
Race 10 African Prince at 8/1. Only 2 wins from 25 starts but always gives his all, Fourie up, worthy of inclusion.