All Racing Tips w/c 2nd November

@Chris well played at Fairview!

Again no luck for me at both Fairview and Greyville yesterday. Nightjar backed from 20/1 to 3/1 managing 5th place. Astronomical Boy did himself no favors at the start but going late for 3rd. Hello Handsome and Diaval nowhere in their respective races, but Snow Warrior who beat both by under 3 lengths, came out to win a MR84 first time out of the maidens. Somewhere I'm missing something. 

Kenilworth

Race 2 - Desert Ice EW @ 9/1 - She is improving with every run and De Melo did mention that he liked the look of her. She was unlucky not to win last time out. Not that bothered about the wide gate as she has the speed to overcome that draw.

Race 4 - Beware EW @ 17/1 - A better race to watch than punt imo. This is purely a value punt. Not in the class of his older rivals, but he comes in with a light mass and could go well. He has been running against decent horses so at this price is worth a small bet.

Race 7 - Royal Tiara EW @ 21/1 - Another race where the favourite should be a good thing. For value, I think Royal Tiara is overpriced. She has also raced in all the features in KZN at the end of last season. She did well and was competitive against many classy fillies. The key here is that she has had a comeback run already. So, she should strip much fitter now. Hoping that she can sneak into the placings.

Race 9 - Ireland Forever EW @ 8/1 - Good form and get a top jockey in the saddle. The good thing is that he always seems to stay on at the finish, so should be competitive here. 

Race 10 - Trailfinder EW @ 15/1 - Was looking for value in the last and he gets some big weight turnaround from Palace Gift. Only concern is that he may need this run after a small break. Can't get hurt at this price and could fill backend of trifectas or quartets.

Goodluck today gents, hope it is a profitable one for everyone.

Good to see a few big names and stars step out to track @ Kenilworth today

Race 1 - Workingclasshero (15/10) looks the proverbial "penalty kick". Form line of both runs have worked out nicely. Only has the Nel runner to beat.

Race 2 - Very open. The top 5 in the betting all have solid claims. Small e/w on One Ripple (20/1) who showed massive improvement in last run when 3rd behind my selection for the next race, Future Engagement. Further step up in trip should suit. Yard one to follow. Happy with the 5/2 on a top 4 place. 

Race 3 - Future Engagement (28/10) got going late when winning her debut and will prefer the extra trip. Carries only 50.5kgs with the claim of Mickaelle Michel and thus receives 9kgs from favorite, Lark's Song (2/1)

Race 4 - Legal Council (17/10) best weighted and with the advantage of having had a run recently should win this. Touched off in the Gr1 Gold Challenge over this distance in June. See It Again and Note To Self would be more effective over further. Beware (15/1) could be anything and did beat Note To Self over C&D at this very meeting a year to go. Way out at the weights against Legal Council but one to follow in his next few starts. 

Race 5 - Gentleman Joe (12/1 E/W) receives 4kgs from Miami Summer (19/20) for a 6.75 length beating over 2000m. He is well out at the weights but stays all day and could just surprise with only 50kgs on his back. Nel yard had a cracker of a weekend last weekend and could just have turned the corner. Not a confident pick but worth a small E/W. Miami Summer tries the trip for the first time. Fort Liam (9/2) also in form, another that will get the trip and has a low weight on his back but all career wins have been at Durbanville.

Race 6 - Lowveld Lily (11/1 E/W) returns from a rest and shoulders top-weight. Computaform comment from the yard "Doing great, will run to form." Ran just over a length behind Gimme What I Want and Quickstepgal over a 100m further earlier this year, Enough for me to chance an e/w bet in a difficult race to call.

Race 7 - Very open if one looks past the favorite, Palace of Avernia (16/10). A race I feel one needs to go wide in the P6 as I feel both Snaith runners as well as Shezaripper (13/1), Fog In Finland, Dream Trip and Georgie Girl (28/1) are not without chances. Taking an E/W on Georgie Girl (28/1), who despite according to the stable is looking for the summer course, has beaten some top sorts in her last two runs despite still being very green. She had the likes of African Kingfisher and Virginia Bluebell behind her when winning her maiden and beat listed winner, Grapes of Wrath, with ease last time out. Shezaripper (13/1) half a length runner-up to Grapes of Wrath in the listed race over 1500m mentioned above is also not without a chance. Runner up in a GR 3 juvenile race in only her 2nd start. Ran 2l behind Rich Man's World a month ago despite being bumped at the start. SW 3x4

Race 8 - The R9million purchase, Wreath Of Snow (29/20) will look to justify his price tag. Won maiden with ease over this trip and had three subsequent winners behind him that day. United Front (28/10) goes well over this trip, is in form and has a positive weight swing with Devil A Saint for a nose beating. 

Race 9 - Golden Destiny (11/2) all three wins have been over C&D. Peak run after a rest. Roskilde (11/2) returns from a rest but does have some proper graded juvenile form behind the likes of Red Spice and Vibe Check. Computaform comment: "First run after a rest, will be competitive." 

Race 10 - Palace Gift (6/1 E/W) - One of only two rides for Tristan Godden today. Goes well with 3 wins from his 4 most recent runs over the Kenilworth 1000. SW with Peace of Mind (6/1) if there is some kitty left by the last. SW 6x12

Good luck to all, play responsibly and lets hope for a change in fortunes today.

thanks lads re greyville, good to find some big prices.

nicely done JT on gentlemen joe, a lovely price as well!

just one for me, in the last, i always look out for Aldo at end of a card as does seem to pop up with winners there. 

K10 MAGMA FLOW @ 9/1 ew, back at preferred track, better jock on board today and if finds 2yr old form can be a factor here.
 

Tough day my side. However some good calls from the rest of you guys. Nice to see JT bounceback today with some top picks. 

Let's see what tomorrow brings 

Thanks @Vin Naidoo & @Southpaw. Nice to see some form returning yesterday. Can't believe One Ripple and Georgie Girl places paid that much on the tote. Palace of Avernia x Georgie Girl exacta paid something like R55!

Going should be on the soft side today as we had some rain the last couple of days and more expected this afternoon. I share many of Chris' thoughts on todays card. My thoughts:

Race 1 -  Secraterix (6/10) backed early as if the result is known already. Caramello (35/1) very nicely bred but should need further. Won't be suprised if this finds back end of quartets.

Race 2 - High Fidelity (24/10) returns from a rest and gelding but brings strong form to the race. Only 3 lengths behind Fish Tales on debut and then had subsequent winners Kovil, Duke of Lorraine, Trojan Horse, Raptor King, Captain Cooper and Lucky Awesome not that far ahead of him when stepped up in trip next time out. Stable been a bit quiet but had a winner Friday evening at Greyville. Two first timers to watch: The Headmaster (19/20) half brother to Mrs Geriatrix and King In The East (11/2) full brother to Rahhabba and related to Graded race runners Greeting My Master and Winter Greeting. Trainers comment in Computaform "Each Way chance."

Race 3 - Treasure State (16/10) took on stronger before and I get the feeling the rest of the field is more effective over further. 

Race 4 - Not much between Ziyasha and Speedman (2/1) on their run in the Post Merchants. Taxi To The Moon (37/20) is 1/1 with Richard Fourie in the irons, but I would have liked to see Kabelo Matsunyane retain the ride. 

Race 5 - Precocious (5/1 E/W) is 2/2 over C&D and has won in softer going.  

Race 6 - With Chris, Care Forgot (13/2). Scratched from the Charity Mile consolation race last week for this race.

Race 7 - Between Main Defender (11/2) and Field Marshall (15/2). Had the going been good, I would have been all over Drumnadrochit (37/20), but past runs in softer going doesn't convince. Main Defender just needs to repeat run in Champions Cup 

Race 8 - With all the scratchings, Porridge Boy (21/10) looks a proverbial penalty kick. Mission To Mars (1/1) down in trip and toughest task to date - Not for me. Solar Sail (36/10) first run in 11 months.

Race 9 - Cool Gambler (5/1 E/W) much is being made of the wide draw, but good horses can overcome that. This R5 million half brother to Sparkling Water and Spumante Dolce will enjoy the step up in trip. Had a look at Wild As The Wind (15/1). Dropping in ratings and won maiden in softer going. Form line of last race franked with 2 winners from 2 runners. Just not totally convinced he will get the trip from an even wider draw than Cool Gambler. 

Race 10 - Dante's Bond (16/1 E/W) Enjoys C&D and the booking of Kabelo Matsunyane, who would have had the choice of the Peter rides, is what convinces me. Also been running against much stronger recently.  Drawn on the outside which might assist. Stable in hot form. SW with Chris' pick African Prince (11/1) who has 3 runner-up and one third place finish in 4 runs over C&D. Also 1.5kg better off with Dante's Bond on their run in August over C&D. SW 4x13

Enjoy the races.

Thanks for the thoughts JT and Chris. Looks another nice card and hopefully I can do better than yesterday. Goodluck today gents!

Race 1 - Satisfied EW @ 16/1 - Like the drift that is happening and now this price is even better. The filly has been running well in her races and is staying on in the finish. Will be disappointed if she runs out of the placings.

Race 6 - Kensal Green EW @ 13/1 - Also like Care Forgot but my first choice is Kensal Green. She was reported not to be striding out last time so ignore that run. Her form before that is good, and is well suited to this distance with 2 wins, a second and third from five runs. That 1.5kgs off from Mickaelle could prove the difference.

Race 7 - Main Defender WIN @ 4.5/1 - On best form will blow this field away. Taking a chance and making him my best bet and banker for the exotics.

Race 9 - Bay Empire EW @ 20/1 - Looks like he has been freshened up so should be better than his last start. I like the jockey booking. Tristan Gooden is in good form and hopefully has him in a good position to run on.

Race 10 - Glastonbury Fire EW @ 12/1 - Positive comments from the De Kock stable. They did say they are not too sure what his ideal trip is but his in terrific form at home. They rate this as a dark horse and one to follow for this race and coming races. He won well in a work riders race and honestly could be anything here. With Mickaelle in the saddle, and the positive trainer comments, I will take my chances here.

Just one for me today -

T9 One of those days @ 12/1 ew. zackey back on board, this horse won on  champions day for yard and comments was that he will take a while to become a decent horse, so will take a chance he’s turned the corner a bit after a couple average runs.