curriecupIn this Currie Cup betting blog we look back on week 3 and then ahead to week 4 with handicap projections, early betting, team news, weather and finally a bet in each game.

 

 

 

ORDER IS RESTORED 

Posted 16 August 16h31 

It wasn't stress free but both afternoon bets arrive with some room to spare. 

Seeing a handiap at WSB for the Boland v Bulls but am convinced it must be an error. 

 

BET: CHEETAHS V WP

Posted 16 Aug 13h24

BET: 3 units WP +16.5 at 0.92/1 at Betxchange

The handicap has been fairly stable in this game opening at -18.5 Cheetahs to the current -16.5 level suggesting some money for WP.

WP have been poor but I am not convinced by this Cheetahs team and I think the visitors can beat this handicap.

The points line of 65.5 looks a touch high and if pushed I would be on the unders.

 

BET: PUMAS V LIONS

Posted 16 Aug 13h20

BET: 3 units over 61.5 points at 0.88/1 at Betxchange

There has been money for the Lions and they are +5.5 from an opening call of +8.5.

The points line is set at a tempting 61.5.

This match is being played at the Nelspruit Rugby Club and conditions should be firm underfoot.

I think we may see a few penalties early in this one and hopefully plenty of tries as well.

 

 

A POOR START AND POINTS LINES ARE OUT 

Posted 15 Aug 23h58

There was no Friday profits and the Griquas v Sharks game was a tough watch. 

I see we have some points lines out for Saturday with 64.5 the line in both games. 

I am going to sleep on it. 

 

BET: OUTRIGHT MARKET 

Posted 15 Aug 14h20 

0.5 unit Griquas to win Currie Cup at 25/1 at Betxchange 

I have decided to have a bet on Griquas at 25/1. I think this Currie Cup is more open than the betting suggests and I would not be shocked by a Griquas v Pumas final. 

 

BET: GRIQUAS V SHARKS

Posted 15 Aug 13h52

3 units over 9.5 tries at 1/1 at Sportingbet

The handicap opened Griquas -21.5 and has been stable all week generally sitting at -20.5.

The points line is 64.5 and while that sounds high I am not sure it is high enough.

This Griquas team is full of running and while the Sharks have really battled to score tries Griquas tend to leak and conditions should be good with a nice hard surface.

I don’t expect 3 pointers to be taken and prefer the over 9.5 tries to the over 64.5 points as it takes missed conversions out of play.

 

WAITING FOR POINTS LINES 

Posted 15 Aug 07h31 

We have 3 handicaps at least but I don't think we will see points lines until a couple of hours before kickoff of the Griquas game 

I have meetings out of office this morning and the 1st bet will likely only be posted an hour or so before the game. 

In the meantime check out the Currie Cup chat I had with TheCroweTips and The Oracle on last nights edition of THE HANDICAP 

Also keep an eye on our Rugby Championship Betting Blog 

 

CURRIE CUP WEATHER 15-17 August

Posted 14 August 16h12

Here are forecasts (please check yourself before betting) 

 

15 Aug – Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley – 15:00
Suzuki Griquas vs Hollywoodbets Sharks

Weather: Temp around 20 degree, a bit of wind and possibly cloud but basically perfect conditions. Humidity 40% - click here for updates 

16 Aug – Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein – 14:00
Toyota Cheetahs vs DHL Western Province

Weather: Cloudy but should be clear, outside chance of a storm (watch). Temp 21 degrees. Humidity mid 30's - click here for updates

16 Aug – Nelspruit Rugby Club, Nelspruit – 14:00
Airlink Pumas vs Fidelity ADT Lions

Weather: Temp mid 20's, humidity mid 40's, possibly some cloud - click here for updates

17 Aug – Boland Stadium, Wellington – 15:00
Sanlam Boland Kavaliers vs Vodacom Bulls

Weather: Temp mid 20's, humidity mid 40's, clear skies - click here for updates 

 

 

CURRIE CUP LINES AT LAST 

Posted 14 August 15h54

Less than 24 hours from the 1st kickoff we finally have 3 of the 4 Currie Cup handicaps at WSB 

Below is how they compare with mine - WSB in brackets 

 

Griquas v Sharks, Griquas -15.5 (-21.5) 
Cheetahs v Western Province, Cheetahs -13.5 (-19.5) 
Pumas v Lions, Pumas -5.5 (-8.5) 
Boland v Bulls, Boland +19.5

Fairly big differences in the Griquas and Cheeahs games but I won't be storming in just yet. 

Weather forecasts to follow shortly 

 

Weekend Line Ups

Updated 14:30 14th August

 

Friday 15th August, Griquas v Sharks

 

Griquas: 15 Cameron Hufke, 14 Dylan Maart, 13 Zane Bester, 12 Mnombo Zwelendaba, 11 Gurshwin Wehr, 10 George Whitehead, 9 Caleb Abrahams, 8 Gustav Erlank, 7 Carel van der Merwe, 6 Carl Els, 5 Albert Liebenberg, 4 Malembe Mpofu, 3 Cebo Dlamini (captain), 2 Janco Uys, 1 Eddie Davids.

Replacements: 16 Tiaan Lange, 17 Corne Lavagna, 18 Ig Prinsloo, 19 Derik Pretorius, 20 Marco de Wit, 21 Bobby Alexander, 22 Zinedine Robinson, 23 Tom Nel

 

Sharks: 15 Jaco Williams, 14 Christie Grobbelaar, 13 Diego Apollis, 12 Marnus Potgieter, 11 Paschal Ekeji, 10 Vusi Moyo, 9 Ceano Everson, 8 Nicholas Hatton (captain), 7 Bathobele Hlekani, 6 Matt Romao, 5 Deon Slabbert, 4 Gideon Koegelenberg, 3 Lee-Marvin Mazibuko, 2 Bryce Calvert, 1 Phatu Ganyane.

Replacements: 16 Willem van den Hever, 17 Simphiwe Ngobese, 18 Phiwayinkosi Kubheka, 19 Coetzee Le Roux, 20 Jannes Potgieter, 21 Tiaan Fourie, 22 Jean Smith, 23 Hakeem Kunene

 

Saturday 16th August, Pumas v Lions

 

Pumas: 15 Tino Swanepoel, 14 Stefan Coetzee, 13 Sango Xamlashle, 12 Wian van Niekerk, 11 Darren Adonis, 10 Danrich Visagie, 9 Ross Braude (vice-captain), 8 Willie Engelbrecht (captain), 7 Ruwald van der Merwe, 6 Ntsika Fisante, 5 Tiaan de Klerk, 4 JJ Scheepers, 3 Sampie Swiegers, 2 Eduan Swart, 1 Etienne Janeke
Replacements: 16 Jan-Henning Campher, 17 Zuki Sali, 18 Dewald Maritz, 19 Hanno Theunissen, 20 Andre Fouché, 21 Russwell Fredericks, 22 Tiaan Pretorius , 23 Dalvon Blood

Lions: 15 Gianni Lombard, 14 Angelo Davids, 13 Manuel Rass, 12 Rynhardt Jonker, 11 Kelly Mpeku, 10 Lubabalo Dobela, 9 Nico Steyn, 8 Jarod Cairns, 7 Siba Qoma, 6 Renzo du Plessis, 5 Ruben Schoeman, 4 Dylan Sjoblom, 3 RF Schoeman, 2 Jaco Visagie (captain), 1 SJ Kotze.
Replacements: 16 Morne Brandon, 17 Juan Schoeman, 18 Sebastian Lombard, 19 Johnre Stopforth, 20 WJ Steenkamp, 21 Layton Horn, 22 Sam Francis, 23 Tapiwa Mafura

 

Saturday 16th August, Cheetahs v Western Province

 

Cheetahs: 15 James Verity-Amm, 14 Banie Britz, 13 Marco Janse van Vuren, 12 Ali Mgijima, 11 Cohen Jasper, 10 Franco Smith, 9 Rewan Kruger, 8 Neels Volschenk, 7 Mihlali Mosi, 6 Gideon van der Merwe, 5 Victor Sekekete (captain), 4 Juan Venter, 3 Aranos Coetzee, 2 Louis van der Westhuizen, 1 Hencus van Wyk.
Replacements: 16 Marko Janse van Vuren, 17 Cameron Dawson, 18 Frankie Dos Reis, 19 Thabang Mahlase, 20 Sasko Ndlovu, 21 Jandre Nel, 22 Carel-Jan Coetzee, 23 Clayton Blommetjies.

Western Province: 15 Tristan Leyds, 14 Shilton van Wyk, 13 Gino Cupido, 12 Damian Markus, 11 Joel Leotlela, 10 Jurie Matthee, 9 Asad Moos, 8 Louw Nel, 7 Riley Norton, 6 Gideon van Wyk, 5 Gary Porter (captain), 4 Alex Groves, 3 Zachary Porthen, 2 Scarra Ntubeni, 1 Mhleli Khuzwayo.
Replacements: 16 Luca Bakkes, 17 Oliver Reid, 18 Herman Lubbe, 19 Adam de Waal, 20 Enos Ndiao, 21 Ezekiel Ngobeni, 22 Luke Burger, 23 Jared Africa.

 

Sunday 17th August, Boland v Bulls

 

Boland: 15 James Tedder, 14 Donavan Don, 13 David Brits, 12 Lunathi Nxele, 11 Xavier Mitchell, 10 Ashlon Davids (vice-captain), 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Thurlow Marsh (captain), 7 Sibusiso Sangweni, 6 Ludio Williams, 5 Jurie van Vuuren, 4 Michael Benadie, 3 Doctor Booysen, 2 Sidney Tobias, 1 Mthokozisi Gumede
Replacements: 16 Llewellyn Classen, 17 Wayrin Losper, 18 Dayan van der Westhuizen, 19 Ameer Hendricks, 20 Khwezi Mafu, 21 Godlen Masimla, 22 Juan Mostert, 23 Erik Lambrecht

Bulls: 15 Stravino Jacobs, 14 Katlego Letebele, 13 Demitre Erasmus, 12 Cornel Smit, 11 Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10 Boeta Chamberlain, 9 Zak Burger, 8 JJ Theron, 7 Sintu Manjezi, 6 Nama Xaba (Captain), 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Jaco Grobbelaar, 3 Jean Erasmus, 2 Juann Else, 1 Ruan Swart.
Replacements: 16 Esethu Mnebelele, 17 Lizo Gqoboka, 18 Bryan le Roux, 19 Marco Ferreira, 20 Junior Pokomela, 21 Brooklyn Newman, 22 Jaco van der Walt, 23 Cheswill Jooste.

 

 

CURRIE CUP OUTRIGHT BETTING 

Posted 13 August 10h37 

The Bulls remain favourites and I am mulling over a nibble at the Griquas 25/1 and also a Pumas play at 13/2 - wondering if the URC may not drain resources of the Lions and Bulls later in the tournament (must still check dates) - more later in the week. 

No handicaps but last week they only came Thursday. 

 

Blue Bulls 7/10
Golden Lions 5/2
Ford Pumas 13/2
Cheetahs 10/1
Griquas 25/1
Western Province 50/1
Sharks XV 66/1
Boland Cavaliers 66/1

 

WEEK 4 PROJECTED HANDICAPS 

Posted 10 August 20h35

Below are the week 4 fixtures with my projected handicaps which will be compared to the bookies lines when they are out 

 

15 Aug – Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley – 15:00
Suzuki Griquas -15.5 vs Hollywoodbets Sharks

16 Aug – Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein – 14:00
Toyota Cheetahs -13.5 vs DHL Western Province

16 Aug – Nelspruit Rugby Club, Nelspruit – 14:00
Airlink Pumas -5.5 vs Fidelity ADT Lions

17 Aug – Boland Stadium, Wellington – 15:00
Sanlam Boland Kavaliers +19.5  vs Vodacom Bulls

 

 

Currie Cup Week 3 – Recap 

Posted 10 August 20h26

Suzuki Griquas 47–17 DHL Western Province (Kimberley)
Bet: 4 units over 9.5 tries @ 8/11 – Won
Late fireworks with 4 tries in the final 14 minutes landing the bet. Griquas started -6.5. 

Vodacom Bulls 7–41 Airlink Pumas (Pretoria)
Bet: 4 units under 75.5 points @ 17/20 – Won
Never in danger with only 48 points scored; Bulls -29.5 handicap backers had a nightmare.

Hollywoodbets Sharks 5–7 Toyota Cheetahs (Clermont)
Bet: 4 units over 61.5 points @ 17/20 – Lost
Ugly, scrappy match with just 12 points in total — Sharks still misfiring badly in attack. Handicap started Sharks +8.5.

Boland Cavaliers 29–10 Golden Lions (Wellington)
Bet: 3 units under 72.5 points @ 9/10 – Won
A heavy pitch kept scoring low, with just 39 points in total, well under the line.

 

LOG AFTER WEEK 3

 

  1. Airlink Pumas – Played 3, Points 11

  2. Toyota Cheetahs – Played 3, Points 11

  3. Sanlam Boland Kavaliers – Played 3, Points 11

  4. Vodacom Bulls – Played 3, Points 10

  5. Fidelity ADT Lions – Played 3, Points 10

  6. Suzuki Griquas – Played 3, Points 10

  7. Hollywoodbets Sharks – Played 3, Points 1

  8. DHL Western Province – Played 3, Points 0

The latest outight betting will follow early in the week.