The final Rugby World Cup match taking place on Saturday comes from Pool B and it should be a straight forward assignment for Scotland who come up against Romania in Lille
Scotland v Romania, Saturday 30th September, Lille, KO 21:00 (South African time)
Referee: Wayne Barnes (RFU)
Assistant Referees: Andrew Brace (IRFU), Chris Busby (IRFU)
TMO: Brendon Pickerill (NZR)
Weather Forecast – Lille
Scotland:
Scotland started with a disappointing 18-3 defeat to South Africa. They were given around 11.5 points start on the main handicap line by the bookmakers and only trailed 6-3 at half time but in truth they rarely threatened to score a try.
Last weekend they put themselves on the board with a 45-17 bonus point win over Tonga. Turner, van der Merwe, Steyn, Darge, Horne and Kinghorn were the tryscorers after Tonga faded from a competitive start and Scotland covered a minus handicap that was set in the mid 20's.
That leaves Scotland with 5 points from 2 matches and with this game and then a clash with Ireland to come. In the RWC outright betting Scotland are trading at around 61/10 with BoyleSports to qualify for the quarter finals.
Pool B Scenarios
Romania:
Romania's first 2 matches have been one way traffic, all headed in the direction of their try line.
Last time out they were thrashed 76-0 by the Springboks who ran in 12 tries on their way to covering a 63.5 point handicap.
In their first outing Romania were given around 62.5 points start on the handicap for their clash Ireland. Rupanu scored the first points of the game for the rank outsiders with a 3rd minute try and the same player later added a penalty but it was 33-8 to Ireland at half time and Romania eventually went down 82-8.
Team News
Scotland: 15 Ollie Smith, 14 Darcy Graham, 13 Chris Harris, 12 Cameron Redpath, 11 Kyle Steyn, 10 Ben Healy, 9 Ali Price, 8 Matt Fagerson, 7 Hamish Watson, 6 Luke Crosbie, 5 Grant Gilchrist (c), 4 Sam Skinner, 3 Javan Sebastian, 2 Ewan Ashman, 1 Jamie Bhatti
Replacements: 16 Johnny Matthews, 17 Rory Sutherland, 18 WP Nel, 19 Scott Cummings, 20 Rory Darge, 21 George Horne, 22 Blair Kinghorn, 23 Huw Jones
Romania: 15 Marius Simionescu, 14 Sioeli Lama, 13 Jason Tomane, 12 Fonovai Tangimana, 11 Taliauli Sikuea, 10 Alin Conache, 9 Gabriel Rupanu, 8 Cristian Chirica (c), 7 Dragos Ser, 6 Florian Rosu, 5 Stefan Iancu, 4 Adrian Motoc, 3 Gheorghe Gajion, 2 Robert Irimescu, 1 Alexandru Savin
Replacements: 16 Florin Bardasu, 17 Iulian Hartig, 18 Costel Burtila, 19 Marius Iftimiciuc, 20 Damian Stratila, 21 Florin Surugiu, 22 Tudor Boldor, 23 Nicholas Onutu
The Betting
Scotland -59.5 points at 9/10
Romania +59.5 points at 9/10
Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.
Betting Angle
If you watched my Pool B Scenario’s video you will know that while Scotland need a bonus point out of this game points difference is unlikely to come into play for them.
That being said they will keep the pressure on Romania and should win with ease and if pressed I would say they beat the handicap of -59.5 against this sorry Romania outfit.
I am not confident though and am going to take a bet in a market recently priced up by WSB.
They offers a market called “Most tries in team by position -Scotland” where they group the positions for example 11,14 and 15 are priced as 16/10 to score the most tries with 9,10,12 and 13 priced at 22/10
I am expecting the likes of my namesake Graham, Steyn and possibly Smith to have a field day against the non-existent Romanian “D” and will bet that the “back 3” score the most tries as a combination.
Stay close to our forum thread where I will post any outright or points plays on this game
BET: 3 units 11,14 and 15 to score most Scots tries at 16/10 at WSB
Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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