There is one English Premier League match taking place on Monday night and it features 11th placed Arsenal at home to 15th placed Newcastle United.
The Gunners saw their 3 match winning streak end with a goalless draw at home to Crystal Palace last time out. It was their second home draw to go with 3 victories and 4 defeats in their 9 matches. Goals have been in relatively short supply at the Emirates Stadium this season and Arsenal home games averaged 2.2 goals each although 5 of the 9 games have delivered for punters backing over 2.5 goals.
Newcastle are on a poor run and have had 4 losses and 2 draws in their last 6 League matches. They are coming off a disappointing 1-0 loss away at Sheffield United and 4 of the last 5 Newcastle games in the League have had 2 goals or less in them. Focussing in on Newcastle’s away form they have played 8, won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4, but they have lost their last 3 away matches in succession. As far as Newcastle goal stats on the road goes 7 of the 8 matches would have seen over 2.5 goal backers lose their money and that despite the fact that their away games are averaging 2.5 goals each this season.
Arsenal have won their last 4 EPL matches in succession against Newcastle and last season this fixture finished 4-0 Arsenal.
BETTING – Click here to bet
Arsenal 9/20
Draw 73/20
Newcastle United 27/4
Suggested Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 9/10
Newcastle are battling, while Arsenal are starting to get results I am not convinced they are ready to tear teams apart and I am backing the pattern of Newcastle away matches having less than 3 goals in them to continue.
There are a host of markets priced up on this game and if I was looking for a correct score bet I would go Arsenal 2-0 at 5/1 and for those looking for a nibble in the First Goal Scorer market Lacazette is currently priced as the 11/4 favourite.
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
